If I had bought XLP
If I had bought XLP
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
Ready examples: $100 put into XLP
a week ago+3.2%$100 → $103
a month ago-1.0%$100 → $99
since our history starts, August 17, 2026-2.5%$100 → $98
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
A year of buying XLP
Over the last 51 days XLP closed between $80.21 (October 3, 2026) and $87.00 (August 30, 2026). One hundred dollars put in at the low would be worth $103 today; at the high, $95. The current price $82.75 is above 22 of those 51 daily closes, so a purchase on a random day of that stretch would be in profit 43% of the time — fees aside.
A typical day moves XLP by 1.3%: a $1,000 position swings about $13 a day.
Low of the stretch$80.21 · $100 → $103
High of the stretch$87.00 · $100 → $95
Share of profitable dates43% · 22/51
The same calculation for neighbouring instruments
Calculators for other instruments in the “exchange-traded fund” category.