If I had bought XLF
If I had bought XLF
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
Ready examples: $100 put into XLF
a week ago+1.4%$100 → $101
a month ago-4.1%$100 → $96
since our history starts, July 21, 2026-2.7%$100 → $97
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
A year of buying XLF
Over the last 82 days XLF closed between $53.40 (October 2, 2026) and $59.24 (August 15, 2026). One hundred dollars put in at the low would be worth $103 today; at the high, $92. The current price $54.77 is above 11 of those 82 daily closes, so a purchase on a random day of that stretch would be in profit 13% of the time — fees aside.
A typical day moves XLF by 1.5%: a $1,000 position swings about $15 a day.
Low of the stretch$53.40 · $100 → $103
High of the stretch$59.24 · $100 → $92
Share of profitable dates13% · 11/82
The same calculation for neighbouring instruments
Calculators for other instruments in the “exchange-traded fund” category.