If I had bought XLF
If I had bought XLF
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
Ready examples: $100 put into XLF
a week ago+1.0%$100 → $101
a month ago+3.0%$100 → $103
since our history starts, July 21, 2026+3.8%$100 → $104
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
A year of buying XLF
Over the last 35 days XLF closed between $55.96 (July 23, 2026) and $59.24 (August 15, 2026). One hundred dollars put in at the low would be worth $104 today; at the high, $99. The current price $58.46 is above 33 of those 35 daily closes, so a purchase on a random day of that stretch would be in profit 94% of the time — fees aside.
A typical day moves XLF by 3.6%: a $1,000 position swings about $36 a day.
Low of the stretch$55.96 · $100 → $104
High of the stretch$59.24 · $100 → $99
Share of profitable dates94% · 33/35
The same calculation for neighbouring instruments
Calculators for other instruments in the “exchange-traded fund” category.