If I had bought XLE
If I had bought XLE
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
Ready examples: $100 put into XLE
a week ago-1.5%$100 → $98
a month ago+6.2%$100 → $106
since our history starts, July 15, 2026+11.1%$100 → $111
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
A year of buying XLE
Over the last 41 days XLE closed between $56.40 (July 15, 2026) and $64.29 (August 23, 2026). One hundred dollars put in at the low would be worth $111 today; at the high, $97. The current price $62.64 is above 34 of those 41 daily closes, so a purchase on a random day of that stretch would be in profit 83% of the time — fees aside.
A typical day moves XLE by 1.7%: a $1,000 position swings about $17 a day.
Low of the stretch$56.40 · $100 → $111
High of the stretch$64.29 · $100 → $97
Share of profitable dates83% · 34/41
The same calculation for neighbouring instruments
Calculators for other instruments in the “exchange-traded fund” category.