If I had bought GDX
If I had bought GDX
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
Ready examples: $100 put into GDX
a week ago+1.8%$100 → $102
a month ago-7.8%$100 → $92
since our history starts, July 27, 2026+17.2%$100 → $117
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
A year of buying GDX
Over the last 76 days GDX closed between $73.71 (July 28, 2026) and $105.22 (August 25, 2026). One hundred dollars put in at the low would be worth $121 today; at the high, $85. The current price $89.46 is above 26 of those 76 daily closes, so a purchase on a random day of that stretch would be in profit 34% of the time — fees aside.
A typical day moves GDX by 2.6%: a $1,000 position swings about $26 a day.
Low of the stretch$73.71 · $100 → $121
High of the stretch$105.22 · $100 → $85
Share of profitable dates34% · 26/76
The same calculation for neighbouring instruments
Calculators for other instruments in the “exchange-traded fund” category.