Kairo Trade

Stocks: lock-up expiry

After an IPO, large shareholders cannot sell for a while — that is the lock-up. We read SEC filings and show when and how many shares reach the market — for stocks that have futures on the exchanges we track.

SPCX share lock-up

Full unlock calendar →

From the prospectus and SEC filings · checked 09/27/2026

Tradable
21.4%
2.9B of 13.6B shares
Locked
78.6%
10.7B shares
Next release
10/26, 13:30
328M shares · +11.3% to float · ≈ $53.8B
Founder's shares
6.4B
Elon Musk · from 06/14/2027

How the lock-up works

  • Pre-IPO shareholders receive their shares in steps of 7–28%; the last step is 12/08/2026.
  • Several large shareholders stay locked longer, in steps until the Q2 2027 results.
  • All of the founder's shares (Elon Musk, 6.4B) are locked for 366 days with no early release; they can be sold from 06/14/2027.
  • Steps tied to earnings unlock on the second full trading day after the results are published. Until the company schedules the report, the date is an estimate.
  • The early release of another 456M shares if the price stayed above $175.50 did not trigger; they unlock on 12/08/2026.
  • 391M shares were issued to buy Cursor; their lock-up terms are not disclosed, and by law they cannot be sold before 02/14/2027.
  • Times are the New York market open (09:30 New York time).

All release steps

  • 10/26/2026, 13:30scheduled
    10/24/2026 is a weekend
    180-day lock-up: day 135 · 7% of the pool
    328M+11.3% to float
  • ≈ 11/05/2026estimated date
    180-day lock-up: after Q3 2026 results · 28% of the pool
    1.3B+40.2% to float
  • 12/08/2026, 14:30scheduled
    180-day lock-up: day 180
    798M+17.6% to float
  • ≈ 02/11/2027estimated date
    Extended lock-up: after Q4 2026 results · 20% of the pool
    352M+6.6% to float
  • 03/18/2027, 13:30scheduled
    Extended lock-up: day 280 · 10% of the pool
    176M+3.1% to float
  • ≈ 05/06/2027estimated date
    Extended lock-up: after Q1 2027 results · 20% of the pool
    352M+6% to float
  • 05/17/2027, 13:30scheduled
    Extended lock-up: day 340 · 10% of the pool
    176M+2.8% to float
  • 06/14/2027, 13:30scheduled
    06/12/2027 is a weekend
    Extended lock-up: day 366 · 20% of the pool
    352M+5.5% to float
  • 06/14/2027, 13:30scheduled
    06/12/2027 is a weekend
    Founder: all shares
    6.4B+95% to float
  • ≈ 08/05/2027estimated date
    Extended lock-up: after Q2 2027 results
    352M+2.7% to float
  • —not before 02/14/2027
    Issued to buy Cursor
    391M

SPCX on our venues: open interest $730.5M on 6 exchanges · 24h volume $81.3M

Sources: IPO prospectus (06/11/2026) · quarterly results (08/04/2026) · 10-Q quarterly report (08/04/2026) · acquisition (8-K) (08/14/2026)