If I had bought TBT
If I had bought TBT
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
Ready examples: $100 put into TBT
a week ago-2.0%$100 → $98
a month ago-12.3%$100 → $88
three months ago-0.1%$100 → $100
since our history starts, July 27, 2026+2.5%$100 → $102
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
A year of buying TBT
Over the last 102 days TBT closed between $36.70 (July 28, 2026) and $43.18 (October 7, 2026). One hundred dollars put in at the low would be worth $103 today; at the high, $88. The current price $37.88 is above 15 of those 102 daily closes, so a purchase on a random day of that stretch would be in profit 15% of the time — fees aside.
A typical day moves TBT by 1.9%: a $1,000 position swings about $19 a day.
Low of the stretch$36.70 · $100 → $103
High of the stretch$43.18 · $100 → $88
Share of profitable dates15% · 15/102
The same calculation for neighbouring instruments
Calculators for other instruments in the “exchange-traded fund” category.