If I had bought ES
If I had bought ES
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
Ready examples: $100 put into ES
a week ago-19.3%$100 → $81
a month ago-27.5%$100 → $73
three months ago-75.5%$100 → $24
six months ago-99.4%$100 → $1
a year ago-98.9%$100 → $1
since our history starts, July 25, 2025-99.6%$100 → $0
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
A year of buying ES
Over the last 358 days ES closed between $0.0007000 (August 26, 2026) and $0.1640 (May 19, 2026). One hundred dollars put in at the low would be worth $129 today; at the high, $1. The current price $0.0009049 is above 22 of those 358 daily closes, so a purchase on a random day of that stretch would be in profit 6% of the time — fees aside.
A typical day moves ES by 20.4%: a $1,000 position swings about $204 a day.
Low of the stretch$0.0007000 · $100 → $129
High of the stretch$0.1640 · $100 → $1
Share of profitable dates6% · 22/358
The same calculation for neighbouring instruments
Calculators for other instruments in the “layer-2 network” category.