If I had bought ES
If I had bought ES
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
Ready examples: $100 put into ES
a week ago+0.3%$100 → $100
a month ago-57.9%$100 → $42
three months ago-99.4%$100 → $1
six months ago-99.3%$100 → $1
a year ago-99.5%$100 → $1
since our history starts, July 25, 2025-99.7%$100 → $0
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
A year of buying ES
Over the last 358 days ES closed between $0.0007260 (August 20, 2026) and $0.1640 (May 19, 2026). One hundred dollars put in at the low would be worth $110 today; at the high, $0. The current price $0.0008000 is above 5 of those 358 daily closes, so a purchase on a random day of that stretch would be in profit 1% of the time — fees aside.
A typical day moves ES by 17.9%: a $1,000 position swings about $179 a day.
Low of the stretch$0.0007260 · $100 → $110
High of the stretch$0.1640 · $100 → $0
Share of profitable dates1% · 5/358
The same calculation for neighbouring instruments
Calculators for other instruments in the “layer-2 network” category.