If I had bought TMF
If I had bought TMF
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
Ready examples: $100 put into TMF
a week ago+3.6%$100 → $104
a month ago+0.8%$100 → $101
since our history starts, July 29, 2026+0.8%$100 → $101
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
A year of buying TMF
Over the last 30 days TMF closed between $30.14 (August 17, 2026) and $31.96 (August 25, 2026). One hundred dollars put in at the low would be worth $105 today; at the high, $99. The current price $31.64 is above 23 of those 30 daily closes, so a purchase on a random day of that stretch would be in profit 77% of the time — fees aside.
A typical day moves TMF by 2.1%: a $1,000 position swings about $21 a day.
Low of the stretch$30.14 · $100 → $105
High of the stretch$31.96 · $100 → $99
Share of profitable dates77% · 23/30
The same calculation for neighbouring instruments
Calculators for other instruments in the “exchange-traded fund” category.