If I had bought TMF
If I had bought TMF
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
Ready examples: $100 put into TMF
a week ago+2.3%$100 → $102
a month ago+20.7%$100 → $121
three months ago-3.6%$100 → $96
since our history starts, July 27, 2026-5.9%$100 → $94
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
A year of buying TMF
Over the last 102 days TMF closed between $25.17 (October 7, 2026) and $32.99 (July 28, 2026). One hundred dollars put in at the low would be worth $121 today; at the high, $92. The current price $30.38 is above 60 of those 102 daily closes, so a purchase on a random day of that stretch would be in profit 59% of the time — fees aside.
A typical day moves TMF by 2.3%: a $1,000 position swings about $23 a day.
Low of the stretch$25.17 · $100 → $121
High of the stretch$32.99 · $100 → $92
Share of profitable dates59% · 60/102
The same calculation for neighbouring instruments
Calculators for other instruments in the “exchange-traded fund” category.