If I had bought TLT
If I had bought TLT
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
Ready examples: $100 put into TLT
a week ago+0.8%$100 → $101
a month ago+6.8%$100 → $107
three months ago-3.5%$100 → $96
since our history starts, August 5, 2026-3.7%$100 → $96
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
A year of buying TLT
Over the last 93 days TLT closed between $77.17 (October 7, 2026) and $86.97 (August 23, 2026). One hundred dollars put in at the low would be worth $107 today; at the high, $95. The current price $82.40 is above 56 of those 93 daily closes, so a purchase on a random day of that stretch would be in profit 60% of the time — fees aside.
A typical day moves TLT by 0.9%: a $1,000 position swings about $9 a day.
Low of the stretch$77.17 · $100 → $107
High of the stretch$86.97 · $100 → $95
Share of profitable dates60% · 56/93
The same calculation for neighbouring instruments
Calculators for other instruments in the “exchange-traded fund” category.