If I had bought TLT
If I had bought TLT
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
Ready examples: $100 put into TLT
a week ago-4.0%$100 → $96
a month ago-5.6%$100 → $94
since our history starts, August 5, 2026-4.1%$100 → $96
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
A year of buying TLT
Over the last 48 days TLT closed between $81.47 (September 18, 2026) and $86.97 (August 23, 2026). One hundred dollars put in at the low would be worth $101 today; at the high, $94. The current price $82.08 is above 10 of those 48 daily closes, so a purchase on a random day of that stretch would be in profit 21% of the time — fees aside.
A typical day moves TLT by 2.3%: a $1,000 position swings about $23 a day.
Low of the stretch$81.47 · $100 → $101
High of the stretch$86.97 · $100 → $94
Share of profitable dates21% · 10/48
The same calculation for neighbouring instruments
Calculators for other instruments in the “exchange-traded fund” category.