If I had bought POLYMARKET
If I had bought POLYMARKET
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
Ready examples: $100 put into POLYMARKET
a week ago+0.4%$100 → $100
a month ago-0.0%$100 → $100
since our history starts, September 21, 2026-12.4%$100 → $88
Dates within the last week use the minute candle — accurate to the minute of purchase.
A year of buying POLYMARKET
Over the last 46 days POLYMARKET closed between $23.06 (October 18, 2026) and $27.41 (September 21, 2026). One hundred dollars put in at the low would be worth $104 today; at the high, $88. The current price $24.01 is above 26 of those 46 daily closes, so a purchase on a random day of that stretch would be in profit 57% of the time — fees aside.
A typical day moves POLYMARKET by 1.8%: a $1,000 position swings about $18 a day.
Low of the stretch$23.06 · $100 → $104
High of the stretch$27.41 · $100 → $88
Share of profitable dates57% · 26/46
The same calculation for neighbouring instruments
Calculators for other instruments in the “company stock” category.